HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOKS

 

Welcome to our new heavy rainfall and flood outlook page. On this page, you will find our latest heavy rainfall forecasts and related flood potential information. These products are created using the latest surface and upper air information and model guidance. This product will be issued once in the morning, with another update during the afternoon, as necessary. Keep in mind though, this product will be event-driven, or in other words, issued only as needed.

SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL GRAPHICS
[Outlook Information]
* The graphics shown below represent the current significant rainfall forecast and flood potential for the areas in shaded contours. Mouse over tabs to view each day's graphics.

 
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SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL DISCUSSION
SCO MIDWEST WEATHER SERVICE STEVENS POINT/WHITING WI
330 PM CDT THU SEP 22 2016

VALID: 222100Z - 231300Z.

FORECAST PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES:
None 0.50 - 1.00 1.00 - 3.00 4.00 - 5.00 5.00+


SUMMARY OF THE 1400 UTC...900 AM CDT...INFORMATION:

PROBABILITY OF FLOOD/FLASH FLOOD WATCH ISSUANCE...10% OR VERY LOW.

CATEGORICAL HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL:

LOW

CURRENT WATCHES NOW IN EFFECT:

NONE.

REGIONAL RADAR MOSIAC SUMMARY:

AT 1400Z...REGIONAL MOSIAC SHOWS ONLY SOME LIGHT SHOWERS OVER PARTS OF LOWER MI MOVING EAST.

FORECAST DISCUSSION:

A COLD FRONT HAS SAGGED INTO SOUTHERN IA...NORTHERN IL...AND SOUTHERN LOWER MI. THIS HAS SWEPT
MUCH OF THE HEAVIER RAIN POTENTIAL FURTHER SOUTH OF THE RAIN SOAKED AREAS IN AND AROUND LACROSSE
WI AND PARTS OF CENTRAL WI. FLOODING STILL CONTINUES IN THESE LOCATIONS...AND IS LIKELY TO
CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. FOR LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE COLD FRONT...A HUMID AND UNSTABLE
AIR MASS REMAINS IN PLACE...AND WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND PWAT VALUES TOPPING 2.50 INCHES...MORE
HEAVY RAINS APPEARS LIKELY. 

SPECIAL INFORMATION:

NONE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS:

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT RIVER AND STREAM FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR NOW OCCURRING
IN THE WARNED AREA. RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR ANY RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD MOVE TO A SAFER
LOCATION ON HIGHER GROUND. STAY OUT OF ALREADY FLOODED AREAS.

FOR INFORMATION MORE SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCATION...INCLUDING LOCAL WATCHES
OR WARNINGS...PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST BULLETINS ISSUED FROM YOUR LOCAL NWS
OFFICE.  

NEXT UPDATE:

THE NEXT UPDATE IS SCHEDULED FOR 400 PM.

FORECASTER: LASHLEY
NNN