This is our day 2 "convective outlook", for the coverage region. This product is routinely updated twice during the period so that you can keep current on the latest information. If a significant severe weather outbreak is forecast, such information will be highlighted in the appropriate section of this product.

THE OUTLOOK AT A GLANCE

CATEGORICAL NONE LIMITED SLIGHT ELEVATED MODERATE HIGH
THUNDERSTORM MODE NONE QLCS - Quasi-Linear Convective System MULTICELL - Clusters/line SUPERCELL SUB-SEVERE OTHER
THUNDERSTORM TIMING None After 9:00 AM After 1:00 PM After 5:00 PM After 9:00 PM
PROBABILITIES ALL SEVERE FACETS

1900 UTC DAY 2 SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK GRAPHICS

Categorical Any Severe
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties


RACDY2

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SCO/MIDWEST WEATHER SERVICE STEVENS POINT/WHITING WI
1240 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2018

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM FORECAST DISCUSSION:
SUMMARY OF THE 191900Z - 201200Z...INFORMATION.

REGIONAL HIGHLIGHTS...
Scattered thunderstorms are possible across parts of Minnesota and Iowa. Elsewhere, it should remain dry.

CATEGORICAL RISK HEADLINES...

None.

SYNOPSIS...
Primary flow aloft will continue along the northern tier of states, east to the Atlantic coast. A mid level shortwave trough is progged to
move into northcentral MN. This will be accompanied by a surface cold front moving east. These features may produce a few afternoon
thunderstorms.

THUNDERSTORM FORECAST DISCUSSION...
While the downstream warm sector won't be overly moist, dew points ranging from 60-65 degrees F, and strong day time diabatic surface
heating should foster at least modest instability by peak heating. The lack of better storm coverage and weaker flow aloft argues against
any organized severe storm development. That said, given the instability and effective shear of 30 knots, some strong cores may develop
and offer a risk for high winds and some hail. But again, the coverage will be low, so many locations may not see any stronger storms.

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONCERN AREAS:

None.

THE NEXT UPDATE:

The next forecast update is scheduled for 700 am Thursday.

FORECASTER: Brooks
NNN

All information and graphics © Copyright 2018 by Midwest Weather Service Storm Center, All rights reserved.